Expert political judgment : how good is it, how can we know?

Publication Data

• Title Expert political judgment : how good is it, how can we know?
• Author Philip E. Tetlock
• Publisher Princeton University Press
• Publication date 2005
• Publication location Princeton, N.J.
• Language English

Contents

Quantifying the unquantifiable
The ego-deflating challenge of radical skepticism
Knowing the limits of one's knowledge: foxes have better calibration and discrimination scores than hedgehogs
Honoring reputational bets: foxes are better Bayesians than hedgehogs
Contemplating counterfactuals: foxes are more willing than hedgehogs to entertain self-subversive scenarios
The hedgehogs strike back
Are we open-minded enough to acknowledge the limits of open-mindedness?
Exploring the limits on objectivity and accountability.

Topics

• Political psychology
• 013185190

Expert political judgment : how good is it, how can we know? by Philip E. Tetlock. ISBN 9780691123028. Published by Princeton University Press in 2005. Publication and catalogue information, links to buy online and reader comments.