The contours of world development 2
The history of macro-measurement 5
The shape of things to come 6
Contours of world development, 1
2003AD
1the Roman Empire and its economy 11
Introduction 11
Key characteristics accounting for Roman success in empire building 13
Conquest of the Italian Peninsula, 396
191BC 17
The empire building process 18
The disintegration of the empire 30
Roman demography 32
Roman income 44
Endnotes 61
Bibliography 62
2The resurrection of Western Europe and the transformation of the americas 69
Why and when did the west get rich? 69
The driving forces that explain the acceleration in western growth since 1820 73
Changes in the structure of demand and employment 74
The european transformation of the Americas, 1500
1820 88
Endnotes 105
References 108
3The interaction between Asia and the West, 1500
2003 111
European
Asian interaction from 1500 to 1820 112
The impact of Asian trade on Europe, 1500
1820 115
The impact of Europe on Asia, 1500
1820 116
Endnotes 178
References 179
4The impact of Islam and Europe on African development: 1
2003AD 183
Introduction 183
The European impact on North Africa before the seventh century 185
The Islamic conquest and its implications 188
Egypt as Islamic state 192
The Maghreb and the initiation of Trans-Saharan trade in gold and slaves 206
The changing character of Moroccan dynasties and their interaction with Europe and Black Africa 209
Black Africa and the impact of Islam 214
The European encounter with Africa 217
Africa from 1820 to 1960 227
Post-colonial Africa, 1960 onwards 231
Appendix 237
Endnotes 239
References 240
Advances in macro-measurement since 1665
5political arithmeticians and historical demographers: the pioneers of macro-measurement 249
William Petty (1623
87) 250
John Graunt: the first demographer (1620
74) 256
Gregory King (1648
1712) and Charles Davenant (1656
1714) 258
Patrick Colquhoun (1745
1820) 282
French political arithmetic, 1695
1707 284
Macro-measurement in the nineteenth and first half of the twentieth century 287
Bibliography 288
6Modern macro-measurement: how far have we come? 294
Development of macro-measurement as a tool of economic policy since 1950 295
Quantifying and interpreting world economic growth from 1820 onwards 301
Economic performance in the merchant capitalist epoch: 1500
1820 307
The roots of modernity: 'takeoff' or long apprenticeship 315
Appendices 316
Endnotes 321
Bibliography 323
The shape of things to come
7the world economy in 2030 335
Projections of population and changes in demographic characteristics 335
Assumptions underlying the projections of per capita GDP 338
The relationship between economic growth, energy consumption, carbon emissions, and global warming 347
The impact of climate change 360
The Kyoto Protocol 362
The report of the House of Lords on climate change 362
The Stern review of the economics of climate change 363
Conclusions on global warming 366.
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Contours of the world economy, 1-2030 AD : essays in macro-economic history by Angus Maddison. ISBN 9780199227204. Published by Oxford University Press in 2007. Publication and catalogue information, links to buy online and reader comments.
